If India is to meet the target of fully vaccinating its adult population by year end, it will have to step up the average daily vaccination levels close to five times from what has been achieved from January 16 to June 7. If that sounds difficult, Uttar Pradesh will need to achieve a nine-fold jump in daily vaccination, Bihar more than eight-fold and Tamil Nadu, Jharkhand and Assam about seven-fold. How have we arrived at these numbers? TOI looked at the 18-plus population in states for 2021 as estimated by the Census office. That gave us a number for how many doses each state must administer to reach the year-end target. We then looked at how much has been done so far and what the average per day over the 143 days of the vaccination campaign so far has been. Since we know how much has been done, we know how much remains to be done. Starting Tuesday, there were 207 days left in the year. That gave us the average needed for the rest of the year for full vaccination of all adults in each state. The conclusions are sobering. Uttar Pradesh has so far, in a little under five months, given the first shot to less than 12% of its adult population and the second shot to just 2.5% at an average of 1.4 lakh doses a day. That leaves it needing to administer 13.2 lakh doses a day to meet the target, which is a nine-fold jump. Similarly, Bihar, which has given first shots to 12.6% and second shots to 2.5%, will need to raise its daily vaccination from 78,000 doses a day to 6.6 lakh a day, or 8.4 times. At the other end of the spectrum, Himachal Pradesh has vaccinated 38.1% of its adult population and fully vaccinated 7.9%. It will have to raise its average daily vaccination from about 18,000 a day to 41,000 a day, a little more than double. Kerala, which has vaccinated 31% and fully vaccinated 8.1% of its adult population, will need to raise daily vaccination levels a relatively modest 2.8 times to meet the December 31 target.
Jun 09, 2021, 08:43AM ISTSource: TOI.in